Saturday, April 25, 2020
Social distancing orders to keep two metres apart to stop the spread
of coronavirus is based on a made up figure, a government adviser has
warned.
Robert Dingwall from the New and Emerging Respiratory Virus Threats
Advisory Group (Nervtag) said the rule was 'conjured up out of nowhere'.
The sociology professor at Nottingham Trent University said scientific
evidence supports a one-metre gap, but the two-metre advice was a 'rule
of thumb'.
Nervtag feeds into the Scientific Advisory Group for Emergencies (Sage),
which is spearheading the government's pandemic response.
Sage has faced fierce criticism after it was revealed Boris Johnson's
chief adviser Dominic Cummings has been sitting in on meetings as far
back as February.
Mr Dingwall told Radio 4's Today: 'We cannot sustain [social distancing
measures] without causing serious damage to society, to the economy and
to the physical and mental health of the population.
'I think it will be much harder to get compliance with some of the
measures that really do not have an evidence base. I mean the two-metre
rule was conjured up out of nowhere.'
He added: 'Well there is a certain amount of scientific evidence for a
one-metre distance which comes out of indoor studies in clinical and
experimental settings.
'There's never been a scientific basis for two metres, it's kind of a
rule of thumb. But it's not like there is a whole kind of rigorous
scientific literature that it is founded upon.'
The government put the UK on lockdown on March 23 and enforced social
distancing to try to combat the spread of the virus which has killed
nearly 20,000.
Guidance on its website says: 'If you meet others when you are outdoors
(for example, on a walk) ensure that you stay at least 2 metres away.'
Mr Dingwall's comments will throw into question whether people need to keep as far apart as is being advised.
The academic also noted there could be ways out of the lockdown for
groups that are less likely to interrupt transmission of the bug.
He said children could go back to school from the beginning of June for the last part of the summer term.
And he added on a hot summer's day landlords may be able to open pubs if they take responsibility and do not allow overcrowding.
His comments came ahead of the huge row in Whitehall over the presence of Mr Cummings at Sage discussions.
The PM's chief adviser's name was on a leaked list of attendees at the group's meetings going back as far back as February.
Labour's Shadow Health Secretary Jonathan Ashworth blasted the move and asked why he was allowed to attend.
Mr Ashworth told Today: 'The concern is that political advisers have
influenced the debate, the way to clear this up is for all the minutes
to be published, we've called on the Government to do this.
'When you are dealing with an epidemic like this, you need to take the public with you every step.'
The list showed Mr Cummings was at a Sage meeting with 24 others on March 23, the day the PM announced the nationwide lockdown.
Mr Cummings was also joined by Ben Warner, a data scientist who worked
alongside him on the Vote Leave Brexit campaign in 2016, say other
members of the group.
Source: http://www.yourdestinationnow.com/2020/04/is-there-any-science-behind-two-metre.html
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Labels: Science, Social Distancing
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