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Showing posts with label Global Trade. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Global Trade. Show all posts

Monday, November 23, 2015

Sustainable Development Reshaping Investments And Global Trade

Panellists at the Tenth Annual Columbia International Investment Conference on Investment Treaty Reform (Picture UNCTAD)Panellists at the Tenth Annual Columbia International Investment Conference on Investment Treaty Reform (Picture UNCTAD)
TN Note: Some are saying that the Trans-Pacific Partnership Agreement has nothing to do with Sustainable Development, or that it doesn’t go far enough. Nonsense. This conference was sponsored by Columbia University, the original home of Technocracy in 1932. Global trade agreements are in near-perfect harmony with the U.N.s’ goals of global transformation and “green economy.”
UNCTAD, alongside the Columbia Center on Sustainable Investment (CCSI) co-organized the Tenth Annual Columbia International Investment Conference on Investment Treaty Reform: Reshaping Economic Governance in the Era of Sustainable Development on 10-11 November 2015, in New York.
The United Nations Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) adopted in September 2015 point to the fundamental role of public and private capital in achieving those goals. The July 2015 Addis Ababa Action Agenda on Financing for Development (FfD) emphasizes the need for governments to effectively catalyse and harness investment for inclusive and sustainable growth, and development.
UNCTAD offers two policy instruments that can help mobilise investment and channel it into areas essential for achieving the SDGs. UNCTAD’s Investment Policy Framework for Sustainable Development (UNCTAD’s Policy Framework), published in as early as 2012 and updated in 2015, provides guidance for the design of sustainable-development-friendly investment policies. UNCTAD’s World Investment Report 2015: Reforming International Investment Governance (WIR 2015) offers a menu of options and a roadmap for the reform of international investment governance.
In light of the SDGs and FfD developments, and the implications they have for domestic and international policy, the New York Conference focused on the role that international investment agreements (IIAs) can and should play in international economic governance now and in the decades to come.
As Jeffrey Sachs, Director of the Earth Institute at Columbia University emphasised: “We need to think of trade and investment regimes that support the SDGs.”
In addition, reforming the international investment regime is fundamental to building and maintaining an enabling environment for sustainable investment and maximising the chances of reaching FfD targets.
“Today the question is not about whether or not to reform, but about the what, how and extent of such reform”, as stated byJames Zhan, Director of UNCTAD’s Division on Investment and Enterprise in his opening remarks.
Following on the heels of UNCTAD’s WIR 2015, which also offers a roadmap to guide policymakers at the national, bilateral, regional, and multilateral levels, six panels of experts reflected upon the practical steps countries and regions have taken and can take to reshape their IIAs.
The Conference, convening more than 30 eminent panellists from more than 20 countries, inter-governmental organizations, civil society and the private sector, constitutes the most recent of UNCTAD’s activities in response to the Addis Ababa Action Agenda that calls upon UNCTAD to”continue its existing programme of meetings and consultations with Member States on investment agreements”.
“UNCTAD offers a unique multilateral platform for engaging in inclusive discussion, supported by policy instruments, analysis and technical assistance. In so doing, UNCTAD effectively assists countries in their endeavour to align the IIA regime with today’s sustainable development imperatives”, noted Nathalie Bernasconi, Group Director, Economic Law and Policy at the International Institute for Sustainable Development (IISD), a think tank.
Panellists dealt with specific questions on undertaking treaty and policy reviews, developing and implementing new model IIAs, terminating or renegotiating IIAs and more generally the way forward for IIA reform. When discussing their new model IIAs, representatives of COMESA, Columbia, the Dominican Republic, Egypt, Indonesia and South Africa all pointed to the benefits that they had derived from using the UNCTAD Policy Framework and the UNCTAD Roadmap.
Read full story here…

Note:  Source Technocracy.news

Tuesday, October 20, 2015

Global Trade Is Collapsing As The Worldwide Economic Recession Deepens

It is just basic economics
by Michael Snyder | Economic Collapse | October 20, 2015

When the global economy is doing well, the amount of stuff that is imported and exported around the world goes up, and when the global economy is in recession, the amount of stuff that is imported and exported around the world goes down.
It is just basic economics.  Governments around the world have become very adept at manipulating other measures of economic activity such as GDP, but the trade numbers are more difficult to fudge.  Today, China accounts for more global trade than anyone else on the entire planet, and we have just learned that Chinese exports and Chinese imports are both collapsing right now.  But this is just part of a larger trend.  As I discussed the other day, British banking giant HSBC has reported that total global trade is down 8.4 percent so far in 2015, and global GDP expressed in U.S. dollars is down 3.4 percent.  The only other times global trade has plummeted this much has been during other global recessions, and it appears that this new downturn is only just beginning.
For many years, China has been leading the revolution in global trade.  But now we are witnessing something that is almost unprecedented.  Chinese exports are falling, and Chinese imports are absolutely imploding…

Growth of exports from China has been dropping relentlessly, for years. Now this “growth” has actually turned negative. In September, exports were down 3.7% from a year earlier, the “inevitable fallout from China’s unsustainable and poorly executed credit splurge,” as Thomson Reuters’ Alpha Now puts it. Most of these exports are manufactured goods that are shipped by container to the rest of the world. And imports into China – a mix of bulk and containerized freight – have been plunging: down 20.4% in September from a year earlier, after at a 13.8% drop in August.

This week it was announced that Chinese GDP growth had fallen to the lowest level since the last recession, and that makes sense.  Global economic activity is really slowing down, and this is deeply affecting China. So what about the United States? Well, based on the amount of stuff that is being shipped around in our country it appears that our economy is really slowing down too.  The following comes from Wolf Richter, and I shared some of it in a previous article, but I think that it bears repeating…
September is in the early phase of the make-or-break holiday shipping season. Shipments usually increase from August to September. They did this year too. The number of shipments in September inched up 1.7% from August, according to the Cass Freight Index. But the index was down 1.5% from an already lousy September last year, when shipments had fallen from the prior month, instead of rising. And so, in terms of the number of shipments, it was the worst September since 2010. It has been crummy all year: With the exception of January and February, the shipping volume has been lower year-over-year every month! The index is broad. It tracks data from shippers, no matter what carrier they choose, whether truck, rail, or air, and includes carriers like FedEx and UPS.
What major retailers such as Wal-Mart are reporting also confirms that we are in a major economic slowdown.  Wal-Mart recently announced that its earnings would fall by as much as 12 percent during the next fiscal year, and that caused Wal-Mart stock to drop by the most in 27 years. And of course this is going to have a huge ripple effect.  There are thousands of other companies that do business with Wal-Mart, and Reuters is reporting that they are starting to get squeezed…
Suppliers of everything from groceries to sports equipment are already being squeezed for price cuts and cost sharing by Wal-Mart Stores. Now they are bracing for the pressure to ratchet up even more after a shock earnings warning from the retailer last week. The discount store behemoth has always had a reputation for demanding lower prices from vendors but Reuters has learned from interviews with suppliers and consultants, as well as reviewing some contracts, that even by its standards Wal-Mart has been turning up the heat on them this year. “The ground is shaking here,” said Cameron Smith, head of Cameron Smith & Associates, a major recruiting firm for suppliers located close to Wal-Mart’s headquarters in Bentonville, Arkansas. “Suppliers are going to have to help Wal-Mart get back on track.”
Similar things are going on at some of the other biggest companies in America as well. For instance, things have gotten so bad for McDonald’s that one franchise owner recently stated that the restaurant chain is “facing its final days”…
“McDonald’s announced in April that it would be closing 700 ‘underperforming’ locations, but because of the company’s sheer size — it has 14,300 locations in the United States alone — this was not necessarily a reduction in the size of the company, especially because it continues to open locations around the world. It still has more than double the locations of Burger King, its closest competitor.” However, for the franchisees, the picture looks much worse than simply 700 stores closing down. “We are in the throes of a deep depression, and nothing is changing,” a franchise owner wrote in response to a financial survey by Nomura Group. “Probably 30% of operators are insolvent.” One owner went as far as to speculate that McDonald’s is literally “facing its final days.”
Why would things be so bad at Wal-Mart and McDonald’s if the economy was “recovering”? Come on now – let’s use some common sense here. All of the numbers are screaming at us that we have entered a major economic downturn and that it is accelerating. CNBC is reporting that the number of job openings in the U.S. is falling and that the number of layoffs is rising…
Job openings fell 5.3 percent in August, while a 2.6 percent rise in layoffs and discharges offset a 0.3 percent gain in hires. Finally, the amount of quits — or what Convergex calls its “take this job and shove it” indicator because it shows the percentage of workers who left positions voluntarily — fell to 56.6 percent from 57.1 percent, indicating less confidence in mobility.
And as I discussed the other day, Challenger Gray is reporting that we are seeing layoffs at major firms at a level that we have not witnessed since 2009. We already have 102.6 million working age Americans that do not have a job right now.  As this emerging worldwide recession deepens, a lot more Americans are going to lose their jobs.  That is going to cause the poverty and suffering in this country to spike even more, if you can imagine that. Just consider what authorities discovered on the streets of Philadelphia just this week…
Support is flooding in for a homeless Philadelphia family whose two-year-old son was found wandering alone in a park in the middle of the night. Angelique Roland, 27, and Michael Jones, 24, were sleeping with their children behind cardboard boxes underneath the Fairmount Park Welcome Center in Love Park when the toddler slipped away. The boy was found just before midnight and handed over to a nearby Southeastern Pennsylvania Transportation Authority police officer, who took him to the Children’s Hospital of Philadelphia. He was wearing a green, long sleeve shirt, black running pants and had a diaper on, but did not have shoes or socks.
Could you imagine sleeping on the streets and not even being able to provide your two-year-old child with shoes and socks? These numbers that I write about every day are not a game.  They affect all of us on a very personal level. Just like in 2008 and 2009, millions of Americans that are living a very comfortable middle class lifestyle today will soon lose their jobs and will end up out in the streets. In fact, there will be people that will read this article that this will happen to. So no, none of us should be excited that the global economy is collapsing.  There is already so much pain all around us, and what is to come is beyond what most of us would even dare to imagine.