it also has to deal with a sudden surge in the popularity of Spain’s Eurosceptic “United We Can” party.
Center right Popular Party (PP) candidate and acting prime minister Mariano Rajoy was widely expected to gain seats following the failed election in 2015.
Recent polls shows PP is losing seats to the once fractured Podemos (We Can) party after it aligned with IU forming “United We Can”.
December 2015 Election Results vs. Current Projections
The above charts from El Pais.
Mighty PSOE Eclipsed by Far Left
The Financial Times reports Spain’s Once-Mighty Socialists Set to be Eclipsed by Far-Left.
The Spanish left is heading for a wrenching realignment at this month’s repeat general election, with a closely watched new poll suggesting that the centre-left Socialist party will be eclipsed by the far-left Unidos Podemos bloc.With the official election campaign set to kick off at midnight on Thursday, Unidos Podemos was forecast to win 25.6 per cent of the vote and 88-92 seats in the 350-strong parliament.The latest poll, by the respected state-funded CIS research institute, gave the once-mighty Socialists just 21.2 per cent and 78-80 seats. If confirmed on June 26, the day of the election, that shift would offer fresh evidence of the deepening crisis facing Europe’s embattled social democrats.Last month, the anti-austerity Podemos party and the United Left, which includes Spain’s former Communist party, decided to set aside their rivalry and run on a joint list dubbed Unidos Podemos (United We Can). For the Socialists, the traditional standard-bearer of the left, the fallout from that deal appears to be highly damaging.According to the CIS survey, the Socialists and Unidos Podemos could control as many as 172 seats in parliament, just four shy of an absolute majority. Meanwhile, the PP and the centrist, pro-business Ciudadanos party are predicted to win at most 160 seats between them.But party leaders and analysts alike caution that the Socialists are deeply reluctant to throw in their lot with Unidos Podemos, especially if that alliance were to be led by Podemos chief Pablo Iglesias.“I don’t see the Socialists supporting Iglesias as prime minister,” said José Fernández-Albertos, a political scientist at the CSIC research centre. “The more likely outcome is that they will abstain and let Rajoy govern [in minority] but will go into the opposition themselves. They will tell their supporters: We cannot support the PP but we also have to be responsible.”
Another Hung Election?
Mathematically, it appears there will be another hung election.
None of the other parties like PP or its corrupt leader, Mariano Rajoy.
A three-way coalition between Unidos Podemos, PSOE, and Ciudadanos is the least likely outcome.
‘Leave’ Takes Shocking 19-Point Lead In Brexit Poll – “If It Happens, Gold Will Be The World’s Strongest Currency”
The headlines go from bad to worse for the UK and EU establishment as yet another new poll this weekend, by Opinium, shows“Brexit” leading by a remarkable 19 points (52% chose to leave the EU against 33% choosing to keep the status quo). This result comes after 2 polls Friday night showing a 10-point lead for “leave” which sparked anxiety across markets. This surge in “leave” probability comes despite an additional 1.5 million voters having registered this week (which many expected to increase “remain” support). Further anger towards EU was exposed when former cabinet minister Iain Duncan Smith warned thatseven new prisons will need to be built in the UK by 2030 to cope with the rising number of migrant criminals(presumedly due to ‘staying’ in the EU). With market anxiety rising, as One River’s CIO notes, if Brexit happens, gold will soar.
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A NEW poll has given those wishing to leave the EU a remarkable 19-POINT lead over Remain. As The Express reports,
The Opinium Poll, commissioned by the Brexit-backing Bruges Group think tank, is further evidence that the Leave camp is gaining support and delivers the biggest margin of victory for Brexit so far, after giving voters the option of a choice of free trade agreements with the EU.It found 52 per cent chose to leave the EU, with only 33 per cent choosing to keep the status quo.Despite there being less than two weeks before the crucial referendum, on June 23, a further 15 per cent said they still didn’t know.Of those who voted to leave the majority, 39 per cent, said that Britain should have some sort of Free Trade Agreement with the EU, similar to the one currently enjoyed between the US, Canada and Mexico.
Enoch Powell – Let It Go On Until the Civil War Comes
The late great British MP Enoch Powell warned of ever becoming enmeshed in the European Common Market, and saw very clearly where things would lead should the inevitable slide of diminishing sovereignty take place. He was right so long ago about so many things (i.e. mass immigration with the resultant destruction of British society), was called a racist and a bigot by his so-called ‘peers’, castigated in the press and politically ousted. He was right then, and he is right now.
